PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$66.8K
861 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 178 traders
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs33 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.7K is directional: YES $2.3K·NO $331YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-99.8%)
Whales
13
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇
Entry 31¢·6,412.9 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-1984
$-1984INV $2.0K · WR 66.1%
M
Midas14🥈
Entry 27¢·597.3 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $161 · WR 74.3%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥉
Entry 29¢·455.5 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $132 · WR 57.5%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 8¢·799.1 shares·also $3.3K on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 69.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 25¢·200 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 57.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 7¢·400.9 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 89.2%
G
gambler925
Entry 1¢·848.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 6¢·83.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 79.3%
Z
zhukov26
Entry 24¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 61.5%
D
decacepa
Entry 27¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 77.7%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+28.2%)
Whales
33
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 79¢·14,475.4 shares
Invested
$11.4K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$3057
+$3057INV $11.4K · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥈hedged
Entry 82¢·3,996.2 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$708
+$708INV $3.3K · WR 69.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 81¢·1,392.8 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$268
+$268INV $1.1K · WR 86.0%
P
puravida
Entry 68¢·920.4 shares
Invested
$629
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$292
+$292INV $629 · WR 59.6%
A
almost-never
Entry 88¢·477.2 shares
Invested
$420
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $420 · WR 73.2%
S
sippingdrank
Entry 99¢·323 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $319 · WR 66.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 79¢·190.6 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $152 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 40¢·315 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $125 · WR 88.8%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 74¢·150 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $111 · WR 55.6%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 98¢·100.6 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $99 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 33
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