PoliticsResolved
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$2.62M
12,028 trades
Smart Whales
348
of 1,220 traders · 3 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
29 MARKETS · $2.78M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election←
100¢−49¢$2.62M178/173Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election←−49¢100¢
$2.62M178/173
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre
99¢+1¢$1.6K6/0Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre+1¢99¢
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Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas
3¢+8¢$4.1K2/17Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas+8¢3¢
$4.1K2/17
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá
84¢−50¢$40.4K15/29Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá−50¢84¢
$40.4K15/29
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas
53¢−25¢$30.8K10/26Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas−25¢53¢
$30.8K10/26
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia
2¢+18¢$9641/4Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia+18¢2¢
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Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará
2¢−2¢$1580/2Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará−2¢2¢
$1580/2
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo
98¢−60¢$4.2K6/10Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo−60¢98¢
$4.2K6/10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District
98¢−28¢$6.3K7/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District−28¢98¢
$6.3K7/3
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás
99¢+1¢$1.0K4/0Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás+1¢99¢
$1.0K4/0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão
3¢+19¢$1.1K2/7Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão+19¢3¢
$1.1K2/7
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso
98¢+2¢$1.2K3/0Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso+2¢98¢
$1.2K3/0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul
98¢−18¢$4.1K12/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul−18¢98¢
$4.1K12/3
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais
94¢−59¢$4.1K6/11Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais−59¢94¢
$4.1K6/11
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará
21¢−9¢$17.4K3/23Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará−9¢21¢
$17.4K3/23
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba
1¢+12¢$1.2K1/7Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba+12¢1¢
$1.2K1/7
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná
99¢−19¢$1.9K8/2Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná−19¢99¢
$1.9K8/2
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco
1¢−1¢$3760/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco−1¢1¢
$3760/3
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí
2¢−2¢$5930/2Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí−2¢2¢
$5930/2
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro
98¢−34¢$2.6K7/4Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro−34¢98¢
$2.6K7/4
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte
2¢+15¢$2.1K2/10Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte+15¢2¢
$2.1K2/10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul
98¢−16¢$1.7K9/2Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul−16¢98¢
$1.7K9/2
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia
99¢−32¢$2.4K6/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia−32¢99¢
$2.4K6/3
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima
99¢−52¢$2.9K9/10Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima−52¢99¢
$2.9K9/10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina
99¢−29¢$9947/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina−29¢99¢
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Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo
98¢−65¢$4.3K5/10Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo−65¢98¢
$4.3K5/10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe
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Smart Money Consensus
178 YESvs173 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 83 YES vs 61 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$55 of $87.7K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $75.2K·NO $12.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$794.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$161.7K(+20.3%)
Whales
178
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 109¢·90,461.3 shares
Invested
$98.4K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-7937
$-7937INV $98.4K · WR 56.0%
A
almost-never🥈
Entry 69¢·131,804.2 shares
Invested
$91.1K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$40655
+$40655INV $91.1K · WR 73.0%
F
flawfence◆Proven🥉
Entry 56¢·117,462.9 shares
Invested
$65.3K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$52126
+$52126INV $65.3K · WR 55.4%
T
Tigerofthehood
Entry 97¢·50,668.9 shares
Invested
$49.0K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$1716
+$1716INV $49.0K · WR 87.3%
S
scout
Entry 87¢·45,093.3 shares
Invested
$39.4K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$5683
+$5683INV $39.4K · WR 92.0%
G
gaclfz◆Proven
Entry 99¢·39,501.9 shares
Invested
$39.1K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$424
+$424INV $39.1K · WR 74.2%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 95¢·38,092.8 shares
Invested
$36.2K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1905
+$1905INV $36.2K · WR 60.2%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven
Entry 94¢·36,295.3 shares
Invested
$34.1K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$2171
+$2171INV $34.1K · WR 71.4%
M
MisTKy
Entry 94¢·35,649.6 shares
Invested
$33.5K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$2112
+$2112INV $33.5K · WR 71.3%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 77¢·30,202.1 shares
Invested
$23.1K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$7080
+$7080INV $23.1K · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 178
NO Team
Total Invested
$349.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$185.2K(-53.0%)
Whales
173
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 78¢·47,575.7 shares·also $10.2K on YES
Invested
$36.9K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-36912
$-36912INV $36.9K · WR 55.3%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 47¢·74,373.7 shares
Invested
$35.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-35225
$-35225INV $35.2K · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 49¢·71,443.1 shares
Invested
$35.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-35165
$-35165INV $35.2K · WR 85.8%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 22¢·113,739.9 shares
Invested
$25.3K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-25256
$-25256INV $25.3K · WR 82.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 52¢·43,754.9 shares
Invested
$22.7K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-22729
$-22729INV $22.7K · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 28¢·40,974.5 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-11345
$-11345INV $11.3K · WR 85.9%
R
Rpzcz
Entry 73¢·6,320.2 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-4598
$-4598INV $4.6K · WR 56.7%
K
Key-Plumber
Entry 7¢·61,722.7 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-4341
$-4341INV $4.3K · WR 59.2%
S
SharkVisionhedged
Entry 8¢·22,544.9 shares·also $21.7K on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-1776
$-1776INV $1.8K · WR 70.3%
S
Syrrok
Entry 8¢·16,836.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-1348
$-1348INV $1.3K · WR 64.8%
Showing top 10 of 173
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