Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$10.0K
403 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 129 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
6 MARKETS · $35.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
12¢+8¢$5.7K8/33Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+8¢12¢
$5.7K8/33
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
41¢−32¢$4.9K2/21Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−32¢41¢
$4.9K2/21
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
37¢−26¢$5.3K2/16Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11−26¢37¢
$5.3K2/16
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11
9¢+3¢$5.0K2/15Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11+3¢9¢
$5.0K2/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs23 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$422+22 new NO$3.8K
$24 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.8K is directional: YES $172·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-37.1%)
Whales
6
C
cookedquail🥇
Entry 7¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $108 · WR 59.3%
F
FishHunter🥈
Entry 17¢·120 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $20 · WR 71.3%
J
Jnf17🥉
Entry 18¢·80.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $15 · WR 66.7%
S
Sizzling-Incandescence
Entry 19¢·65.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 64.0%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 15¢·69 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 66.3%
M
ms1910
Entry 7¢·100 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 57.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$423(+10.4%)
Whales
23
S
sal9999🥇
Entry 92¢·3,421.3 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $3.1K · WR 65.0%
T
tja◆Proven🥈
Entry 82¢·268.3 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $220 · WR 74.1%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 50¢·246 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $123 · WR 88.2%
Q
Quantum777
Entry 93¢·115 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $107 · WR 80.5%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 57¢·129.9 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $74 · WR 79.2%
F
Fishsalad
Entry 86¢·82.2 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $71 · WR 71.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 91¢·65 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $59 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 58¢·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $58 · WR 85.9%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·80.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 88.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 69.2%
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