GeopoliticsResolved
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$16.4K
627 trades
Smart Whales
55
of 149 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs40 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$132 of $884 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $137·NO $615YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-96.0%)
Whales
16
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·423.6 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$304
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-304
$-304INV $304 · WR 55.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥈
Entry 50¢·594 shares
Invested
$297
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-297
$-297INV $297 · WR 55.0%
R
Relaccsed🥉
Entry 45¢·364.1 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $162 · WR 56.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 48¢·242.1 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $116 · WR 59.7%
K
kanhaoleahahedged
Entry 20¢·329.1 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$66
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $66 · WR 73.2%
S
squisito◆Proven
Entry 29¢·160 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $46 · WR 55.2%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 30¢·154.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $46 · WR 59.7%
M
ms1910
Entry 16¢·170 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $27 · WR 57.9%
V
vozomnil
Entry 16¢·45.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 74.7%
A
agentcal
Entry 30¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+50.1%)
Whales
40
F
fillit98◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·1,586.4 shares
Invested
$793
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$793
+$793INV $793 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 86¢·613.2 shares
Invested
$525
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $525 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 82¢·416.6 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $343 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 86¢·394.8 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $338 · WR 85.9%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 69¢·415.7 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $289 · WR 61.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 94¢·240 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $225 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 79¢·238.2 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $189 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 87¢·175.7 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $153 · WR 87.7%
D
Dow-Jones
Entry 81¢·133 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $108 · WR 59.4%
R
RinaK33
Entry 71¢·144.8 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $103 · WR 74.7%
Showing top 10 of 40
Smart Whale Trades
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