GeopoliticsResolved
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10.8K
691 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 214 traders
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs22 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $518·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$830
Avg Win Rate
88.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$216(+26.0%)
Whales
30
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven🥇
Entry 98¢·263.4 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $259 · WR 88.8%
T
Top1-J🥈
Entry 99¢·213.6 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $211 · WR 94.5%
M
MarquisDeMott◆Proven🥉
Entry 98¢·114 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
97.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $111 · WR 97.9%
S
Subdued-Pasta◆Proven
Entry 45¢·131.7 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $59 · WR 85.5%
K
kl1v
Entry 95¢·62 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $59 · WR 81.3%
A
A0A0A
Entry 75¢·36 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $27 · WR 76.8%
N
Nutritious-Emanatehedged
Entry 47¢·34.2 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $16 · WR 73.8%
M
Masculine-Experthedged
Entry 46¢·31 shares·also $50 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $14 · WR 67.4%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 25¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $5 · WR 80.8%
6
0x6f198791...
Entry 43¢·11.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $5 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-96.4%)
Whales
22
L
Lypongu🥇
Entry 80¢·1,420 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1134
$-1134INV $1.1K · WR 75.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 37¢·698.7 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-259
$-259INV $259 · WR 87.7%
M
Masculine-Expert🥉hedged
Entry 162¢·31 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 67.4%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·43.4 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 10¢·217.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 72.2%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 46¢·40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 66.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·35 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 85.9%
M
Majas
Entry 50¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 67.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 51¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 88.7%
C
Collierl
Entry 45¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 22
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