13 days left
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$4.8K
217 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 59 traders
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $20.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$640+18 new NO$984
$297 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $605 is directional: YES $260·NO $345YES Team
Total Invested
$552
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$265(-48.0%)
Whales
3
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 23¢·1,134.2 shares
Invested
$260
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $260 · WR 72.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 34¢·720 shares
Invested
$247
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $247 · WR 69.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 76¢·60 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$46
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $46 · WR 55.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$366
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$73(+20.0%)
Whales
5
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥇
Entry 79¢·395.1 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $310 · WR 57.9%
A
Arid-Pagoda🥈
Entry 84¢·35.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 69.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 33¢·60 shares·also $46 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $20 · WR 55.3%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 84¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 68.9%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1 · WR 55.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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