13 days left
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$5.3K
160 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 47 traders
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $20.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$744+23 new NO$1.7K
$458 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $244·NO $989YES Team
Total Invested
$330
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$92(-27.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+4.3%)
Whales
8
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥇
Entry 81¢·520 shares
Invested
$421
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $421 · WR 57.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈
Entry 86¢·327.4 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $282 · WR 55.3%
A
0xa98eb807...🥉
Entry 76¢·311.2 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $236 · WR 62.7%
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven
Entry 76¢·90 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $68 · WR 88.8%
A
Arid-Pagoda
Entry 87¢·41.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $36 · WR 69.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 83¢·15.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 68.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 86.0%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 6¢·26 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $2 · WR 55.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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