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18 days left

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
73¢
73% implied
NO Price
27¢
27% implied
Volume
$3.9K
282 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 66 traders

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

30 MARKETS · $78.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%
+2 new YES$13+4 new NO$9
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $148 is directional: YES $80·NO $68
YES Team
Total Invested
$265
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+4.1%)
Whales
6
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 69¢·216.2 shares·also $223 on NO
+$7INV $150 · WR 57.2%
T
Tian-WenProven🥈
Entry 65¢·101.8 shares
+$2INV $66 · WR 65.7%
C
chakkudu🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO
$-3INV $17 · WR 67.6%
B
bernardbulletinProven
Entry 71¢·20 shares
$-1INV $14 · WR 69.3%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 52¢·21.3 shares·also $12 on NO
+$4INV $11 · WR 68.4%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 65¢·10 shares·also $6 on NO
+$1INV $6 · WR 60.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin…