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19 days left

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$3.8K
273 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 65 traders

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

31 MARKETS · $78.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs5 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$359+12 new NO$87
$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $130 is directional: YES $63·NO $68
YES Team
Total Invested
$118
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+0.8%)
Whales
6
A
antonioperrieofarmProven🥇
Entry 67¢·81.8 shares
$-7INV $55 · WR 65.7%
B
bernardbulletinProven🥈
Entry 50¢·40 shares
+$6INV $20 · WR 69.3%
C
chakkudu🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO
$-4INV $17 · WR 67.6%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 52¢·21.3 shares·also $12 on NO
+$3INV $11 · WR 68.4%
B
BAO95889
Entry 45¢·17.8 shares
+$3INV $8 · WR 57.2%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 65¢·10 shares·also $6 on NO
+$0INV $6 · WR 60.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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