12 days left

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in October?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

14¢

14% implied

NO Price

86¢

86% implied

Volume

$4.4K

191 trades

Smart Whales

10

of 94 traders

Core PCE MoM - October 2026

7 MARKETS · $17.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% or less in October

1¢−1¢$1.0K0/2

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% or less in October−1¢1¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in October

2¢−2¢$5030/3

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in October−2¢2¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October

8¢+3¢$3.5K1/8

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October+3¢8¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October

73¢−40¢$6.7K3/6

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October−40¢73¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in October←

14¢+15¢$4.4K2/5

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in October←+15¢14¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% in October

2¢+12¢$6581/6

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% in October+12¢2¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in October

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.6% or more in October0¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs8 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 14¢

YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 14¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges

$400

$1.8K

+34 new YES · 3 smart whales+33 new NO · 3 smart whales

$226 bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum

In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO

YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet

1 wallet on YES

Antony82$82

2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 34h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $221 is directional: YES $202·NO $19

YES Team

Total Invested

$202

Avg Win Rate

60.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$71(-35.3%)

Whales

2

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇

Entry 30¢·400 shares

$-62INV $120 · WR 57.1%

Entry 16¢·500.6 shares

$-9INV $82 · WR 64.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$119

Avg Win Rate

84.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$9(+7.8%)

Whales

8

godblessme2026🥇

Entry 98¢·30 shares

$-4INV $29 · WR 87.9%

mustbethewater🥈

Entry 68¢·29.6 shares

+$5INV $20 · WR 79.6%

Entry 63¢·30 shares

+$7INV $19 · WR 87.7%

Entry 96¢·16.7 shares

$-2INV $16 · WR 86.0%

Entry 70¢·20 shares

+$3INV $14 · WR 85.2%

Entry 87¢·10 shares

$-0INV $9 · WR 86.1%

Entry 86¢·8.1 shares

$-0INV $7 · WR 89.0%

Entry 87¢·6.1 shares

$-0INV $5 · WR 55.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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