YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$7.3K
438 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 121 traders
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5 MARKETS · $22.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October
74¢−43¢$6.4K5/11Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October−43¢74¢
$6.4K5/11
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October←
18¢+11¢$7.3K5/12Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October←+11¢18¢
$7.3K5/12
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October
6¢−6¢$3.4K0/18Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October−6¢6¢
$3.4K0/18
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs13 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$321+13 new NO$314
$200 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $320 is directional: YES $174·NO $146YES Team
Total Invested
$174
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$112(-64.3%)
Whales
6
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven🥇
Entry 44¢·320.3 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $142 · WR 69.3%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7🥈
Entry 46¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $23 · WR 57.6%
G
gambler925🥉
Entry 10¢·30.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 56.8%
A
agentcal
Entry 53¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 56.1%
W
WeRDoomed
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 58.3%
3
0x3fa9e91f...
Entry 45¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 72.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$311
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$144(+46.2%)
Whales
13
M
ms1910🥇
Entry 55¢·221.5 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $123 · WR 57.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 53¢·105 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $55 · WR 79.6%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 56¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $22 · WR 63.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 56¢·33.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $19 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 60¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 65¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $17 · WR 85.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 73¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 84.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 76¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 69.4%
A
akroll
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 85.6%
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