YES Price
18ยข
18% implied
NO Price
82ยข
82% implied
Volume
$2.6K
203 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 57 traders ยท 1 on both sides
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5 MARKETS ยท $9.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October
6ยขโ6ยข$1.7K0/7Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in Octoberโ6ยข6ยข
$1.7K0/7
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October
46ยขโ46ยข$3.2K0/7Will Claude go down 5-7 times in Octoberโ46ยข46ยข
$3.2K0/7
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October
31ยขโ11ยข$1.2K1/4Will Claude go down 8-10 times in Octoberโ11ยข31ยข
$1.2K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%ยท net of hedges
+9 new YES$82+14 new NO$395
$76 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers โ left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$8 of $85 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0ยทNO $78YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-62.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$186
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$18(+9.6%)
Whales
9
M
ms1910๐ฅhedged
Entry 79ยขยท70 sharesยทalso $4 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $55 ยท WR 57.9%
E
e46m3๐ฅ
Entry 79ยขยท48.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 ยท WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026๐ฅ
Entry 83ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $33 ยท WR 88.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 81ยขยท20.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 ยท WR 68.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 51ยขยท30.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $16 ยท WR 79.2%
M
Mrpike
Entry 79ยขยท12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 ยท WR 69.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 76ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 ยท WR 84.5%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 ยท WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 87ยขยท5.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 ยท WR 89.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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