YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$2.5K
118 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 68 traders · 1 on both sides
Will Claude go down on __ days in November 2026?
5 MARKETS · $10.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026
73¢−73¢$5.6K0/7Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026−73¢73¢
$5.6K0/7
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026←
22¢+22¢$2.5K4/5Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026←+22¢22¢
$2.5K4/5
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in November 2026
4¢−4¢$8760/7Will Claude go down 8-10 times in November 2026−4¢4¢
$8760/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$91+14 new NO$211
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 32% of the money is not a bet
$20 of $62 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $39·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-20.4%)
Whales
6
M
ms1910🥇hedged
Entry 28¢·100 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $28 · WR 56.7%
L
lakiboi🥈
Entry 30¢·36 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 · WR 60.0%
K
klli27🥉
Entry 20¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 81.1%
K
kaxel78
Entry 20¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 81.9%
3
0x3fa9e91f...
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.8%
R
Respire
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$197
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+15.1%)
Whales
11
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 73¢·55.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $40 · WR 70.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 64¢·49.3 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $32 · WR 87.6%
A
alex20011🥉
Entry 72¢·41.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 74.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 78¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 72¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 87.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 58¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 71.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 65¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 86.1%
M
ms1910hedged
Entry 50¢·20 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 56.7%
A
anothercoin
Entry 74¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 84.4%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 74¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 84.5%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1124ms