Tech/AI49 days left
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$9.4K
204 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 89 traders
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $21.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$61+15 new NO$1.6K
$27 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $5·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$212
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+9.0%)
Whales
3
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 19¢·958.6 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$183
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $183 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 14¢·170 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $24 · WR 70.0%
R
romanew-crypto🥉
Entry 33¢·15.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 66.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$92(-4.7%)
Whales
7
R
Rumpelstiltskin🥇
Entry 76¢·930.9 shares
Invested
$712
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $712 · WR 55.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 97¢·700 shares
Invested
$679
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $679 · WR 57.1%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥉
Entry 77¢·654.2 shares
Invested
$505
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $505 · WR 58.6%
P
parameter1
Entry 80¢·38 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 62.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 81¢·25.2 shares·also $183 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 71.9%
3
0x3f36e082...
Entry 83¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 84.6%
L
LabEma
Entry 86¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 91.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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