2 days left
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$4.8K
255 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 76 traders
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $14.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%
+2 new YES$10+2 new NO$64
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $245 is directional: YES $14·NO $231YES Team
Total Invested
$318
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$72(-22.6%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 32¢·837.5 shares·also $172 on NO
Invested
$272
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $272 · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $25 · WR 69.5%
J
johnashbough🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·32.3 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 55.9%
D
Duratio5
Entry 37¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 55.1%
A
Arid-Pagoda
Entry 25¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$605
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+3.7%)
Whales
7
T
themain🥇
Entry 66¢·353.4 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $231 · WR 77.5%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·178.6 shares·also $272 on YES
Invested
$172
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $172 · WR 72.0%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 57¢·100 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $57 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 81¢·70 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $57 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 63¢·67.2 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $42 · WR 79.4%
J
johnashboughhedged
Entry 60¢·67.3 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $40 · WR 55.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 84.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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