80 days left
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$67.2K
1,436 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 320 traders · 1 on both sides
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $157.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+56¢$2.7K5/4Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026+56¢0¢
$2.7K5/4
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026
40¢−23¢$78.6K8/38Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026−23¢40¢
$78.6K8/38
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026
0¢+78¢$4827/2Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026+78¢0¢
$4827/2
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026←
60¢−27¢$67.2K21/42Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026←−27¢60¢
$67.2K21/42
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs42 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$91+8 new NO$247
$118 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$110 of $6.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6.4K·NO $416YES Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$251(+3.5%)
Whales
21
I
ImJustKen🥇
Entry 65¢·2,462.4 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $1.6K · WR 61.2%
S
schizohedgehog🥈
Entry 61¢·2,590.1 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $1.6K · WR 85.2%
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥉
Entry 68¢·1,857.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-156
$-156INV $1.3K · WR 70.0%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 64¢·1,224.5 shares
Invested
$785
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $785 · WR 74.2%
O
Orioncasthedged
Entry 34¢·2,072.4 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$714
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$519
+$519INV $714 · WR 62.5%
P
PMTraderAdam◆Proven
Entry 64¢·600 shares
Invested
$384
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $384 · WR 79.5%
E
eCash◆Proven
Entry 49¢·753.5 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $369 · WR 67.1%
P
poli.monaco
Entry 44¢·418.4 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $184 · WR 75.6%
M
Mithrandir.hedged
Entry 65¢·200 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$130
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $130 · WR 69.8%
J
JosephTrump
Entry 66¢·125 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $83 · WR 65.5%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$711(-11.4%)
Whales
42
O
Orioncast🥇hedged
Entry 68¢·2,091.6 shares·also $714 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-583
$-583INV $1.4K · WR 62.5%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 46¢·2,338 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $1.1K · WR 85.2%
M
merod🥉
Entry 46¢·1,941 shares
Invested
$897
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $897 · WR 84.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 32¢·1,209.5 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $385 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 47¢·659.6 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $313 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 41¢·670 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $276 · WR 72.2%
J
just-bettor
Entry 44¢·396 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $174 · WR 62.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 35¢·459.4 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $161 · WR 55.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 36¢·424 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $152 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 33¢·442.3 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $147 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 42
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