Sports81 days left
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$42.4K
1,694 trades
Smart Whales
73
of 287 traders
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 MARKETS · $753.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs61 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$71+8 new NO$725
$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $262·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$348
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$101(-28.9%)
Whales
12
P
patspats🥇
Entry 26¢·371.5 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $97 · WR 60.0%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 8¢·794.6 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $64 · WR 75.0%
S
Spectrum◆Proven🥉
Entry 10¢·390.7 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $39 · WR 60.9%
4
4751346
Entry 21¢·154.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $33 · WR 72.8%
S
SapoRey
Entry 28¢·72.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $20 · WR 57.7%
S
Simon4s
Entry 8¢·100 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 74.4%
R
romanew-2s
Entry 14¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 69.3%
D
daiquiri
Entry 0¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 77.7%
Showing top 8 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+25.8%)
Whales
61
B
Bulan🥇
Entry 92¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$917
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $917 · WR 55.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 56¢·1,574.2 shares
Invested
$881
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$557
+$557INV $881 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 88¢·995.3 shares
Invested
$876
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $876 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 89¢·892.6 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $798 · WR 86.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 73¢·727.3 shares
Invested
$531
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $531 · WR 72.2%
J
joopp
Entry 93¢·514 shares
Invested
$476
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $476 · WR 82.4%
P
PhilHawesLover
Entry 92¢·494 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $453 · WR 57.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·501.9 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $265 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 92¢·250.9 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $230 · WR 85.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 85¢·210.7 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $180 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 61
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