446 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$211.5K
3,597 trades
Smart Whales
122
of 467 traders · 3 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.50M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
59 YESvs66 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 30 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$1.8K+31 new NO$5.3K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$40 of $7.8K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $6.4K·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$8.5K
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$557(+6.5%)
Whales
59
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven🥇
Entry 17¢·17,370 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$937
+$937INV $3.0K · WR 56.0%
U
Username2133🥈
Entry 25¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $1.0K · WR 69.2%
D
Dragontree🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·766.5 shares·also $526 on NO
Invested
$755
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-598
$-598INV $755 · WR 67.4%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 30¢·1,453.1 shares
Invested
$433
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $433 · WR 61.9%
D
DancewithRiskhedged
Entry 22¢·1,597.6 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$346
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $346 · WR 66.1%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 25¢·1,263.7 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $312 · WR 66.6%
S
Saldivva
Entry 15¢·2,028.1 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $305 · WR 62.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 19¢·1,174.3 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $218 · WR 72.2%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 21¢·990.2 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $212 · WR 59.4%
T
TruongMyLan
Entry 15¢·861.6 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $128 · WR 59.2%
Showing top 10 of 59
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.6K(+15.3%)
Whales
66
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 56¢·7,061.2 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1631
+$1631INV $4.0K · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 54¢·2,975.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$754
+$754INV $1.6K · WR 89.0%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 76¢·1,523 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $1.2K · WR 75.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 84¢·1,064.7 shares
Invested
$899
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $899 · WR 83.8%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 78¢·1,063.3 shares
Invested
$829
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $829 · WR 58.8%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 76¢·750 shares
Invested
$571
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $571 · WR 83.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 82¢·666.7 shares
Invested
$544
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $544 · WR 89.3%
D
Dragontreehedged
Entry 69¢·766.5 shares·also $755 on YES
Invested
$526
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $526 · WR 67.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 63¢·736.9 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$467
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $467 · WR 55.3%
S
SoftWare
Entry 90¢·323 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $292 · WR 91.3%
Showing top 10 of 66
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