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Economics80 days left

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$164.6K
2,138 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 451 traders

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

8 MARKETS · $524.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

20 YESvs54 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $238 is directional: YES $95·NO $143
YES Team
Total Invested
$161
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$88(-54.3%)
Whales
20
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 11¢·500 shares
$-52INV $56 · WR 65.1%
S
Striped-Cork🥈
Entry 31¢·26 shares
$-8INV $8 · WR 65.5%
M
Mustafalafel🥉
Entry 3¢·207.6 shares
$-5INV $7 · WR 62.5%
H
Hakei.
Entry 5¢·97.9 shares
$-4INV $5 · WR 71.7%
H
Hopeful-Consumption
Entry 16¢·30 shares
$-5INV $5 · WR 58.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 9¢·50.9 shares
$-4INV $5 · WR 88.1%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 7¢·62 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 89.1%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 11¢·19.5 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 59.9%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 12¢·9.1 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 67.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 14¢·7.7 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 20

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 27% YES: 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches…