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Economics89 days left

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$11.3K
886 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 190 traders

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

8 MARKETS · $519.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

20 YESvs43 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$10
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $247 is directional: YES $42·NO $206
YES Team
Total Invested
$68
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-70.0%)
Whales
20
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 12¢·90.2 shares
$-11INV $11 · WR 72.1%
K
ksquare🥈hedged
Entry 11¢·70.4 shares·also $59 on NO
$-7INV $7 · WR 78.4%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 13¢·50 shares
$-6INV $6 · WR 79.5%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 9¢·50.9 shares
$-4INV $5 · WR 88.5%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 7¢·62 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 88.9%
S
Striped-Cork
Entry 8¢·51.7 shares
$-4INV $4 · WR 65.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 13¢·26.9 shares
$-3INV $3 · WR 87.6%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 1¢·195 shares
$-2INV $3 · WR 57.5%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 12¢·15 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.1%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 13¢·9.5 shares
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 20

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Smart money 30% YES: 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches…