YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$11.1K
649 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 144 traders
How many Independents will be elected to Congress?
5 MARKETS · $15.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026←
46¢−7¢$11.1K7/11Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026←−7¢46¢
$11.1K7/11
Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026
28¢−11¢$3.0K1/5Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026−11¢28¢
$3.0K1/5
Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026
18¢+2¢$7231/4Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026+2¢18¢
$7231/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$48+9 new NO$306
$39 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $287 is directional: YES $113·NO $174YES Team
Total Invested
$448
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-8.2%)
Whales
7
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 45¢·566.3 shares·also $252 on NO
Invested
$254
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $254 · WR 58.8%
J
johnashbough◆Proven🥈
Entry 54¢·201.7 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $110 · WR 56.4%
S
sasha585🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·65.9 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$43
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $43 · WR 61.1%
A
aliiz
Entry 67¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $27 · WR 65.1%
3
0x344c26ec...
Entry 40¢·19 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 80.0%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 34¢·10.3 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 55.7%
N
newbiejjh
Entry 55¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 73.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$525
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$45(-8.5%)
Whales
10
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·408 shares·also $254 on YES
Invested
$252
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $252 · WR 58.8%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 66¢·200.3 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $132 · WR 63.2%
S
sasha585🥉hedged
Entry 56¢·65.9 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 61.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 46¢·65.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $30 · WR 88.0%
E
estoicc
Entry 55¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 56.4%
R
RewardsProduction
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 67.4%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 52¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 55.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 49¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 79.6%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 85.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 30¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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