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Politics10 days left

Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$8.3K
564 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 116 traders

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

5 MARKETS · $11.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$189+8 new NO$206
$179 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $245 is directional: YES $86·NO $159
YES Team
Total Invested
$413
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$59(+14.3%)
Whales
5
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 45¢·566.3 shares·also $252 on NO
+$63INV $254 · WR 58.3%
J
johnashbough🥈
Entry 55¢·155.4 shares
+$4INV $86 · WR 55.9%
S
sasha585🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·65.9 shares·also $37 on NO
$-6INV $43 · WR 61.2%
A
aliiz
Entry 67¢·40 shares
$-4INV $27 · WR 65.2%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 34¢·10.3 shares·also $10 on NO
+$2INV $4 · WR 60.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: 0 Independents be elected to Congress…