GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$288.7K
6,650 trades
Smart Whales
539
of 1,912 traders · 8 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

319 YESvs228 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 238 YES vs 164 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$28 of $8.6K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $7.1K·NO $1.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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