GeopoliticsResolved

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$6.63M

9,753 trades

Smart Whales

527

of 3,523 traders

Smart Money Consensus

152 YESvs375 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$162.7K

Avg Win Rate

73.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$76.3K(-46.9%)

Whales

152

classified🥇hedged

Entry 90¢·54,182.7 shares·also $1.6K on NO

$-48883INV $48.9K · WR 82.7%

Entry 13¢·202,611.8 shares

$-27068INV $27.1K · WR 56.0%

foodenjoyer🥉

Entry 1¢·39,750 shares

$-298INV $298 · WR 60.2%

Entry 9¢·200 shares

$-18INV $18 · WR 60.0%

Showing top 4 of 152

NO Team

Total Invested

$986.4K

Avg Win Rate

80.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$299.9K(+30.4%)

Whales

375

Entry 84¢·197,279.9 shares

+$32130INV $165.1K · WR 83.7%

Entry 97¢·96,393.1 shares

+$2991INV $93.4K · WR 80.0%

Flipadelphia🥉

Entry 98¢·75,600.4 shares

+$1597INV $74.0K · WR 56.8%

Entry 72¢·78,686.7 shares

+$21996INV $56.7K · WR 87.8%

Entry 99¢·56,313.9 shares

+$451INV $55.9K · WR 86.4%

Entry 40¢·124,144.9 shares

+$74981INV $49.2K · WR 97.9%

Entry 100¢·44,796.2 shares

+$55INV $44.7K · WR 93.2%

Entry 98¢·44,859.2 shares

+$699INV $44.2K · WR 76.9%

Entry 98¢·44,200 shares

+$796INV $43.4K · WR 85.7%

Entry 37¢·109,603.4 shares

+$69214INV $40.4K · WR 62.6%

Showing top 10 of 375

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 917ms