GeopoliticsResolved
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$11.5K
240 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 103 traders
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs6 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $295 is directional: YES $265·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+145.8%)
Whales
16
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·956.9 shares
Invested
$478
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$478
+$478INV $478 · WR 72.2%
R
Raskell🥈
Entry 59¢·457.9 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$190
+$190INV $268 · WR 62.8%
Q
qpeitb🥉
Entry 91¢·125.4 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $114 · WR 65.9%
M
maracat
Entry 85¢·61 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $52 · WR 57.9%
O
Oskoreiter
Entry 92¢·52.3 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $48 · WR 55.8%
D
DeadFocuses
Entry 6¢·479 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$450
+$450INV $29 · WR 57.9%
A
AimFlatly
Entry 6¢·434 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$408
+$408INV $26 · WR 60.7%
E
estoicc
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 55.5%
F
flirtmi97
Entry 97¢·15.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 82.3%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 41¢·35.2 shares·also $41 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $14 · WR 71.3%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$195
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$194(-99.4%)
Whales
6
F
FrogCharts🥇
Entry 81¢·112.4 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $91 · WR 64.3%
F
FishHunter🥈hedged
Entry 116¢·35.2 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$41
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 71.3%
K
Kimera-🥉
Entry 76¢·40.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 65.4%
C
0xc80c5317...
Entry 23¢·132.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $31 · WR 55.6%
T
thunderquackhedged
Entry 18¢·6.2 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 75.2%
Showing top 5 of 6
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 941ms