YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$5.4K
252 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 121 traders
Target Q3 comparable sales growth?
4 MARKETS · $20.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%←
27¢−12¢$5.4K3/17Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be above 5%←−12¢27¢
$5.4K3/17
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be below 1%
1¢−1¢$1.6K0/15Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be below 1%−1¢1¢
$1.6K0/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs17 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 27¢
YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 27¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
$121
$322
+14 new YES+13 new NO
$177 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 39h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $247 is directional: YES $81·NO $166YES Team
Total Invested
$81
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+28.6%)
Whales
4
E
estoicc🥇
Entry 27¢·121 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $33 · WR 56.2%
J
johnashbough🥈
Entry 21¢·158.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $33 · WR 55.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 17¢·60 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 79.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 28¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 67.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$506
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+9.0%)
Whales
17
P
ProvidingExitLiq🥇
Entry 73¢·226.2 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $166 · WR 60.2%
C
C.PM🥈
Entry 77¢·85 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $65 · WR 82.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 40¢·152 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $61 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $31 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 75¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 61¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 88.6%
Z
zerone777
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 80.6%
K
kaxel78
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 82.0%
A
akroll
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 80.8%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 80.0%
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