GeopoliticsResolved
Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$43.0K
280 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 107 traders
Russia military action against EU country by...?
3 MARKETS · $249.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs19 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.7K is directional: YES $9·NO $4.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-99.8%)
Whales
6
M
meagainsttheworld🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·2,000 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-1992
$-1992INV $2.0K · WR 64.8%
K
kaspersz🥈hedged
Entry 104¢·512.2 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$532
Win Rate
93.9%
Position P&L
$-532
$-532INV $532 · WR 93.9%
J
Jydyjyd🥉
Entry 33¢·1,100 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-361
$-361INV $361 · WR 60.3%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 2¢·696.7 shares·also $599 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 58.8%
P
pretzel
Entry 0¢·2,097.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 86.0%
J
Jest55hedged
Entry 1¢·494.5 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 83.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.5K(+40.8%)
Whales
19
M
Monumental-Injustice🥇
Entry 83¢·5,452.5 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$933
+$933INV $4.5K · WR 69.2%
B
bigshort🥈
Entry 98¢·1,871 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $1.8K · WR 83.1%
D
DiaMat🥉
Entry 98¢·1,800 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $1.8K · WR 86.1%
Z
zve3da
Entry 98¢·1,017.2 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1000 · WR 77.3%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 97¢·619 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$599
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $599 · WR 58.8%
W
wish-
Entry 100¢·500 shares
Invested
$498
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $498 · WR 84.0%
L
laureman
Entry 26¢·1,298.7 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$964
+$964INV $335 · WR 91.4%
D
Donny.T
Entry 97¢·300 shares
Invested
$291
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $291 · WR 73.5%
J
Jest55hedged
Entry 96¢·69.9 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $67 · WR 83.3%
T
Te0n2
Entry 97¢·46 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $45 · WR 66.9%
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