Resolved
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$82.2K
2,013 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 375 traders · 1 on both sides
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
5 MARKETS · $129.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting←
100¢−59¢$82.2K42/61by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting←−59¢100¢
$82.2K42/61
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
22¢+16¢$34.1K20/33by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+16¢22¢
$34.1K20/33
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+8¢$10.0K2/23by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+8¢0¢
$10.0K2/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
42 YESvs61 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $5.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.8K·NO $301YES Team
Total Invested
$36.1K
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.1K(+16.8%)
Whales
42
A
aviato🥇
Entry 98¢·14,208.4 shares
Invested
$14.0K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$254
+$254INV $14.0K · WR 91.3%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 88¢·8,545.4 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$1027
+$1027INV $7.5K · WR 90.9%
F
firegold🥉
Entry 50¢·6,626.1 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$3322
+$3322INV $3.3K · WR 59.7%
G
Giorgio2
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $1.5K · WR 74.0%
P
privateaccount
Entry 97¢·1,480.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $1.4K · WR 90.0%
N
nicdan
Entry 95¢·1,359.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $1.3K · WR 91.6%
T
taut-dogwood
Entry 96¢·1,240.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1.2K · WR 95.7%
P
potatobrahh
Entry 67¢·1,352.3 shares
Invested
$910
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$442
+$442INV $910 · WR 59.1%
H
hotcatcat
Entry 94¢·891.3 shares
Invested
$839
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $839 · WR 60.0%
N
nicholasflamel
Entry 59¢·1,381.3 shares
Invested
$822
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$538
+$538INV $822 · WR 61.2%
Showing top 10 of 42
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.9K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$13.9K(-81.9%)
Whales
61
R
ryzt🥇
Entry 38¢·24,476.9 shares
Invested
$9.2K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-9245
$-9245INV $9.2K · WR 66.5%
P
polmarke195🥈
Entry 43¢·2,820.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
$-1214
$-1214INV $1.2K · WR 91.3%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 45¢·2,321.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1037
$-1037INV $1.0K · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 55¢·1,409.2 shares
Invested
$782
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-782
$-782INV $782 · WR 72.2%
K
korda77
Entry 24¢·1,418.8 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-344
$-344INV $344 · WR 85.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 48¢·714.9 shares
Invested
$341
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-341
$-341INV $341 · WR 89.0%
M
merod
Entry 56¢·490.5 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-277
$-277INV $277 · WR 84.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·501.2 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-250
$-250INV $250 · WR 79.6%
I
ineedmassage
Entry 67¢·184.2 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $124 · WR 68.1%
M
Mandalorec
Entry 14¢·828 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $120 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 61
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