Resolved
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$43.4K
1,313 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 260 traders
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August
5 MARKETS · $91.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting←
0¢+14¢$43.4K7/42by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting←+14¢0¢
$43.4K7/42
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
25¢+13¢$34.5K20/33by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+13¢25¢
$34.5K20/33
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+8¢$10.2K2/23by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+8¢0¢
$10.2K2/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs42 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $886 is directional: YES $184·NO $703YES Team
Total Invested
$311
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$304(-97.6%)
Whales
7
V
vino1234🥇
Entry 8¢·1,549.5 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $122 · WR 61.7%
S
seal7◆Proven🥈
Entry 13¢·782 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $99 · WR 60.3%
M
Mandalorec🥉
Entry 19¢·253.3 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $47 · WR 60.0%
O
Offbeat-Injoke
Entry 13¢·300 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 83.7%
E
ElonMadeMe
Entry 3¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 55.0%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 6 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.3K
Avg Win Rate
86.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+7.3%)
Whales
42
T
taut-dogwood🥇
Entry 91¢·6,915.9 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
+$627
+$627INV $6.3K · WR 95.7%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 95¢·3,295.4 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $3.1K · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 95¢·1,294.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $1.2K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 98¢·809 shares
Invested
$795
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $795 · WR 72.2%
F
firegold
Entry 80¢·752.4 shares
Invested
$604
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $604 · WR 59.7%
B
beatrix99
Entry 100¢·516.3 shares
Invested
$515
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $515 · WR 81.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 98¢·472.4 shares
Invested
$463
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $463 · WR 70.5%
M
MrBobo
Entry 100¢·350.8 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $350 · WR 61.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 91¢·375 shares
Invested
$341
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $341 · WR 86.0%
K
korda77
Entry 98¢·292.1 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $286 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 42
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