YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$35.6K
560 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 191 traders
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
3 MARKETS · $654.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs8 NO
Price 78¢
YES 53%NO 47%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 78¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
$2.0K
$404
+22 new YES · 2 smart whales+29 new NO · 2 smart whales
$356 bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 7 on NO
YES 2NO 5one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 36h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.7K is directional: YES $3.8K·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$313(+8.2%)
Whales
9
K
knrad◆Proven🥇
Entry 73¢·3,981.8 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $2.9K · WR 77.3%
I
iHaveBeenPwned🥈
Entry 60¢·580.6 shares
Invested
$348
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $348 · WR 85.7%
E
Everestpredictions🥉
Entry 78¢·384.1 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $300 · WR 72.2%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 60¢·200 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $120 · WR 56.1%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 79¢·100 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $79 · WR 61.2%
E
elmar313
Entry 78¢·55.1 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $43 · WR 83.3%
R
Rurik5hedged
Entry 62¢·20 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 69.3%
J
Java
Entry 62¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 68.9%
F
feley
Entry 80¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 73.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$727(-37.8%)
Whales
8
A
alwaysOn◆Proven🥇
Entry 39¢·3,767 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-590
$-590INV $1.5K · WR 76.7%
A
adenakoz1🥈
Entry 35¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $350 · WR 56.7%
F
FishHunter🥉
Entry 19¢·400 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $75 · WR 63.7%
A
arcjuice
Entry 12¢·126.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $15 · WR 85.1%
U
Username0709
Entry 17¢·88.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 55.1%
V
vinii◆Proven
Entry 13¢·34.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 66.8%
R
Rurik5hedged
Entry 21¢·20 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 69.3%
M
maniacite
Entry 17¢·8.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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