elmar313 · Polymarket wallet 0xaf65…c7e5

Wallet snapshot

elmar313 has made 31 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $1,802 in volume. Most of it is in politics (55%) and geopolitics (15%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%, lifetime P&L +$31. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $114 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes · $96 · 85¢ → 82¢
• Aleksandar Vučić arrested by December 31, 2026?No · $56 · 86¢ → 86¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $45 · 63¢ → 94¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?Yes · $42 · 78¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes · +$4 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$14 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes · +$5 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes · +$11 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No · -$4 · Aug 1, 2026
• Trump out as President before GTA VI?No · -$4 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.