GeopoliticsResolved
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$250.2K
1,325 trades
Smart Whales
116
of 444 traders
Smart Money Consensus
35 YESvs81 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $59 is directional: YES $0·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$130.6K
Avg Win Rate
88.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$18.5K(+14.2%)
Whales
35
S
scout🥇
Entry 97¢·113,938.8 shares
Invested
$110.2K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$3693
+$3693INV $110.2K · WR 92.0%
R
RememberAmalek🥈hedged
Entry 90¢·8,210.9 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$823
+$823INV $7.4K · WR 64.4%
A
alliswell🥉hedged
Entry 26¢·11,506.4 shares·also $8.8K on NO
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$8529
+$8529INV $3.0K · WR 86.6%
E
easterpink
Entry 100¢·2,922.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $2.9K · WR 59.7%
W
Worried-Enquiry
Entry 66¢·1,650.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$559
+$559INV $1.1K · WR 81.3%
M
mhh
Entry 48¢·2,042.1 shares
Invested
$989
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1052
+$1052INV $989 · WR 57.0%
N
nonkenny90hedged
Entry 71¢·1,187.6 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$846
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$341
+$341INV $846 · WR 90.9%
T
theta-thunberghedged
Entry 70¢·995.3 shares·also $299 on NO
Invested
$697
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$298
+$298INV $697 · WR 56.4%
X
Xenyhedged
Entry 56¢·1,093 shares·also $734 on NO
Invested
$611
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$481
+$481INV $611 · WR 62.2%
R
rgeefe
Entry 45¢·815 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$448
+$448INV $366 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 35
NO Team
Total Invested
$23.4K
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$22.0K(-93.8%)
Whales
81
A
alliswell🥇hedged
Entry 76¢·11,506.4 shares·also $3.0K on YES
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-8790
$-8790INV $8.8K · WR 86.6%
P
Parz1vaI🥈
Entry 42¢·11,724.3 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-4932
$-4932INV $4.9K · WR 71.6%
R
RememberAmalek🥉hedged
Entry 27¢·8,210.9 shares·also $7.4K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-2182
$-2182INV $2.2K · WR 64.4%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 79¢·2,721.7 shares·also $200 on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-2146
$-2146INV $2.1K · WR 61.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 89¢·1,182.8 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1052
$-1052INV $1.1K · WR 57.7%
X
Xenyhedged
Entry 67¢·1,092.9 shares·also $611 on YES
Invested
$734
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-734
$-734INV $734 · WR 62.2%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 76¢·777.5 shares
Invested
$594
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-593
$-593INV $594 · WR 56.5%
G
GollumGekkohedged
Entry 87¢·523.5 shares·also $319 on YES
Invested
$453
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-453
$-453INV $453 · WR 75.9%
K
Kalags
Entry 78¢·501 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-391
$-391INV $391 · WR 60.3%
T
theta-thunberghedged
Entry 30¢·995.3 shares·also $697 on YES
Invested
$299
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-298
$-298INV $299 · WR 56.4%
Showing top 10 of 81
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