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25 days left

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$21.2K
634 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 222 traders

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

9 MARKETS · $141.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs27 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 93¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 93¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+15 new YES · 3 smart whales+23 new NO · 10 smart whales
$77 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 35h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $669 is directional: YES $667·NO $2
YES Team
Total Invested
$667
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+13.0%)
Whales
6
F
firegold🥇
Entry 92¢·304.3 shares
+$2INV $279 · WR 58.8%
D
Dr.mett🥈
Entry 90¢·222.2 shares
+$9INV $201 · WR 88.6%
P
Pure-ThreatProven🥉
Entry 64¢·263 shares
+$74INV $169 · WR 81.9%
S
SweetChariot
Entry 90¢·9 shares
+$0INV $8 · WR 90.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 90¢·6.8 shares
+$0INV $6 · WR 69.1%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 80¢·5 shares
+$1INV $4 · WR 68.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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