Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$2.7K
149 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 64 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?
6 MARKETS · $18.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18
47¢−36¢$2.6K1/8Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18−36¢47¢
$2.6K1/8
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18←
34¢−11¢$2.7K3/10Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18←−11¢34¢
$2.7K3/10
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18
6¢+1¢$3.6K1/14Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18+1¢6¢
$3.6K1/14
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18
3¢+7¢$2.0K1/9Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18+7¢3¢
$2.0K1/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs10 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 59% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$19+8 new NO$39
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7 is directional: YES $4·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+20.2%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+5.9%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 61¢·63.2 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $39 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 60¢·60 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $36 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 72.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 67¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 86.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 67¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 79.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 69¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 83.3%
F
0xf80548d9...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.7%
B
0xbcfc04ef...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.4%
B
0xb1344d33...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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