YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$1.7K
76 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 69 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 3?
11 MARKETS · $13.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3
0¢+10¢$1.8K1/9Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3+10¢0¢
$1.8K1/9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3
1¢+85¢$1356/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3+85¢1¢
$1356/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 3
0¢+15¢$9792/11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 3+15¢0¢
$9792/11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3
1¢+13¢$5972/12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3+13¢1¢
$5972/12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3
12¢+4¢$8763/16Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3+4¢12¢
$8763/16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3←
55¢−45¢$1.7K2/18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3←−45¢55¢
$1.7K2/18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3
33¢0¢$3.1K6/12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 30¢33¢
$3.1K6/12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3
2¢+17¢$6863/13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3+17¢2¢
$6863/13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3
0¢+7¢$7641/13Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3+7¢0¢
$7641/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs23 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$807+51 new NO$933
$211 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 26% of the money is not a bet
$14 of $54 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $37YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$16(+160.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$273
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-9.3%)
Whales
23
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $60 · WR 88.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥈
Entry 47¢·72.8 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $34 · WR 60.2%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 47¢·70.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $33 · WR 79.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 49¢·60 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $29 · WR 87.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 51¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 86.2%
B
Bilberry
Entry 60¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 56.9%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 63¢·20.3 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 56.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 47¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 60.0%
C
cherryrain
Entry 45¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 55.3%
L
luciebot
Entry 49¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 82.1%
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