YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$1.2K
44 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 50 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 3?
11 MARKETS · $5.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3
0¢—$6420/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3—0¢
$6420/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3
1¢—$550/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3—1¢
$550/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 3
0¢—$5180/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 3—0¢
$5180/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3
1¢—$2840/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3—1¢
$2840/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3
11¢—$3970/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3—11¢
$3970/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3←
55¢—$1.2K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3←—55¢
$1.2K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3
31¢—$1.0K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3—31¢
$1.0K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3
4¢—$4030/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3—4¢
$4030/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3
0¢—$3190/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3—0¢
$3190/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$564+38 new NO$651
$143 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 26% of the money is not a bet
$14 of $54 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $37YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+149.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$124
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-12.9%)
Whales
13
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 49¢·60 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $29 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 48¢·40 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 51¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 86.1%
B
Bilberry
Entry 60¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $15 · WR 56.9%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 63¢·20.3 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 56.3%
L
luciebot
Entry 49¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 81.7%
D
0xde0d8c84...
Entry 63¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 56.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 48¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 66.6%
W
w9383
Entry 56¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 63.8%
Q
qjsv3
Entry 55¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 83.8%
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