YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$429
39 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 35 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 3?
11 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3
0¢—$6690/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3—0¢
$6690/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3
1¢—$550/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 3—1¢
$550/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 3
0¢—$5440/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 3—0¢
$5440/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3
1¢—$3090/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3—1¢
$3090/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3
10¢—$4530/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 3—10¢
$4530/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3
55¢—$1.2K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3—55¢
$1.2K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3
34¢—$1.6K0/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3—34¢
$1.6K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3←
3¢—$4290/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3←—3¢
$4290/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3
0¢—$3450/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3—0¢
$3450/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$32+24 new NO$397
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31 is directional: YES $4·NO $27YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-55.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$135
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+6.3%)
Whales
8
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 97¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $34 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 95¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 86.1%
W
whhisky
Entry 85¢·16 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 70.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 96¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 66.6%
H
heyhighhuii1
Entry 85¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 59.1%
D
dggsddfgfc
Entry 98¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
97.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 97.3%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 0¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 60.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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