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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$2.0K
68 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 57 traders · 1 on both sides

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $5.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 15¢
YES 31%NO 69%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 15¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+30 new YES · 3 smart whales+32 new NO · 8 smart whales
$117 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$15 of $731 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $80·NO $636
YES Team
Total Invested
$87
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-17.0%)
Whales
4
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 20¢·390.4 shares
$-16INV $77 · WR 56.3%
D
dandanteng🥈hedged
Entry 18¢·41 shares·also $12 on NO
$-1INV $7 · WR 58.4%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$2INV $3 · WR 70.9%
G
General-Appearance
Entry 9¢·7 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 88.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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