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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$2.1K
76 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 63 traders · 1 on both sides

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $6.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 41¢
YES 47%NO 53%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 41¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+37 new YES · 3 smart whales+29 new NO · 5 smart whales
$375 bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26 of $216 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $160·NO $30
YES Team
Total Invested
$173
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+0.2%)
Whales
7
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇hedged
Entry 42¢·273.2 shares·also $13 on NO
$-3INV $115 · WR 55.4%
H
haiwenxiang🥈
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-4INV $25 · WR 75.9%
N
Noisy-Graduation-Octopus🥉
Entry 47¢·32.6 shares
$-2INV $15 · WR 59.4%
G
guh56
Entry 49¢·25 shares
$-2INV $12 · WR 79.4%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$10INV $3 · WR 70.9%
T
twobonclay
Entry 50¢·5.1 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 59.5%
G
General-Appearance
Entry 9¢·7 shares
+$2INV $1 · WR 88.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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