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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$2.7K
79 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 65 traders · 1 on both sides

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $6.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 24¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 24¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+33 new YES · 4 smart whales+38 new NO · 8 smart whales
$148 bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 3 · 2
YES 3NO 2one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$15 of $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $82·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$138
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$27(+19.8%)
Whales
6
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 20¢·390.4 shares
+$15INV $77 · WR 56.3%
B
bruhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh🥈
Entry 23¢·214 shares
+$2INV $49 · WR 64.5%
D
dandanteng🥉hedged
Entry 18¢·41 shares·also $12 on NO
+$2INV $7 · WR 58.4%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$4INV $3 · WR 70.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 9¢·20 shares
+$3INV $2 · WR 79.6%
G
General-Appearance
Entry 9¢·7 shares
+$1INV $1 · WR 88.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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