2 days left

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 15?

YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$1.7K
55 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 46 traders

Highest temperature in Seattle on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $5.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs7 NO
Smart Money wallets on YEStheir dollars on YESYES price
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+23 new YES · 1 smart whale+32 new NO · 7 smart whales
$202 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $66 is directional: YES $12·NO $54

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: the highest temperature in Seattle…