2 days left
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 15?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$1.7K
55 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 46 traders
Highest temperature in Seattle on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $5.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on November 15
2¢—$750/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on November 15—2¢
$750/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on November 15
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on November 15—0¢
$150/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on November 15
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on November 15—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 15
0¢—$800/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 15—0¢
$800/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 15
0¢—$1050/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 15—0¢
$1050/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 15
1¢—$3010/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 15—1¢
$3010/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 15
14¢—$2.1K0/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 15—14¢
$2.1K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 15
47¢—$5710/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 15—47¢
$5710/0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 15←
37¢—$1.7K0/0Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 15←—37¢
$1.7K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
Price 37¢
YES 22%NO 78%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 37¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
$474
$1.2K
+23 new YES · 1 smart whale+32 new NO · 7 smart whales
$202 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $66 is directional: YES $12·NO $54YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+93.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$179
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-2.5%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 61¢·136 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $83 · WR 87.7%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥈
Entry 68¢·44.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 58.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 64¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $26 · WR 86.1%
W
Whoknows69
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 76.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 61¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 79.6%
H
heyhighhuii1
Entry 61¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 60.3%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 61¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 78.0%
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