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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 16?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$1.5K
39 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 40 traders

Highest temperature in NYC on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $4.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 47¢
YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 47¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+30 new YES · 4 smart whales+20 new NO · 4 smart whales
$326 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $200 is directional: YES $188·NO $12
YES Team
Total Invested
$188
Avg Win Rate
55.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$129(+68.8%)
Whales
3
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 25¢·740.2 shares
+$117INV $183 · WR 55.4%
N
newbie147🥈
Entry 9¢·40 shares
+$13INV $4 · WR 70.9%
5
0x54498e4c...🥉
Entry 40¢·2.8 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 31% YES: the highest temperature in New York…