🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
2 days left

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 16?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$1.5K
47 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 46 traders

Highest temperature in NYC on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $4.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 32¢
YES 31%NO 69%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 32¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+20 new YES · 4 smart whales+34 new NO · 10 smart whales
$409 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 8h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $80 is directional: YES $53·NO $26
YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-6.1%)
Whales
4
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 36¢·141 shares
$-9INV $51 · WR 55.4%
G
glory2hezbollah🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·20 shares·also $4 on NO
$-1INV $7 · WR 71.7%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 70.9%
N
Near-Science
Entry 31¢·8 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.5%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 179ms
Smart money 27% YES: the highest temperature in New York…