1 days left
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 15?
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$3.3K
137 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 90 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $10.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on November 15
0¢+100¢$201/0Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on November 15+100¢0¢
$201/0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on November 15
0¢+33¢$861/2Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on November 15+33¢0¢
$861/2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on November 15
0¢+50¢$761/1Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on November 15+50¢0¢
$761/1
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on November 15
0¢+33¢$2651/2Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on November 15+33¢0¢
$2651/2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 15
0¢+50¢$541/1Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 15+50¢0¢
$541/1
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 15
0¢+33¢$1701/2Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 15+33¢0¢
$1701/2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 15
3¢+17¢$9982/8Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 15+17¢3¢
$9982/8
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 15
27¢+2¢$3.9K4/10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 15+2¢27¢
$3.9K4/10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 15←
62¢+2¢$3.3K9/5Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 15←+2¢62¢
$3.3K9/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 62¢
YES 53%NO 47%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 62¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%· net of hedges
$1.5K
$1.7K
+61 new YES · 8 smart whales+48 new NO · 8 smart whales
$693 bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 5 · 3
YES 5NO 3one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 25h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$59 of $379 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $307·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$337
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+31.8%)
Whales
9
S
sbel🥇
Entry 45¢·510.6 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $228 · WR 75.3%
K
kerbrerv🥈
Entry 49¢·62.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $31 · WR 61.3%
H
HWReborn🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·59 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $25 · WR 55.9%
F
0xf550a949...
Entry 48¢·36.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 55.4%
R
Roflan-ludomanhedged
Entry 61¢·20.5 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 57.3%
N
Near-Science
Entry 41¢·27 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 57.5%
T
twobonclay
Entry 47¢·11.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 59.5%
R
Rundown-Listening
Entry 42¢·7.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 74.3%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $3 · WR 70.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$105
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-24.9%)
Whales
8
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 55¢·60 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $33 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 58¢·36.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $21 · WR 87.7%
H
HWReborn🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·35.9 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 55.9%
C
cleaningLady
Entry 57¢·23 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $13 · WR 63.9%
R
Roflan-ludomanhedged
Entry 57¢·22.4 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 57.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 43¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 86.6%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 45¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 60.5%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 43¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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