2 days left

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 15?

YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$2.2K
92 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 40 traders

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs4 NO
Price 42¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 42¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+25 new YES · 3 smart whales+25 new NO · 4 smart whales
$370 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36 is directional: YES $12·NO $24

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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