2 days left

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 16?

YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$438
25 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 31 traders

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $2.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 62¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 62¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
+16 new YES+18 new NO · 4 smart whales
$54 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 10h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $3·NO $7

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: the highest temperature in Amsterdam…