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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 16?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$532
30 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 39 traders

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $2.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 19¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 19¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+15 new YES · 2 smart whales+29 new NO · 9 smart whales
$36 bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 10h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $40 is directional: YES $3·NO $37
YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+55.6%)
Whales
2
N
newbie147🥇
Entry 9¢·36 shares
+$2INV $3 · WR 70.9%
N
Near-Science🥈
Entry 14¢·3.8 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 23% YES: the highest temperature in Amsterdam…