YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$438
25 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 31 traders
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $2.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 16←
62¢—$4380/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 16←—62¢
$4380/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 16
19¢—$5320/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 16—19¢
$5320/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 16
2¢—$770/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 16—2¢
$770/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 16
1¢—$440/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 16—1¢
$440/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 16
1¢—$240/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 16—1¢
$240/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C or higher on November 16
0¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C or higher on November 16—0¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 5°C or below on November 16
0¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 5°C or below on November 16—0¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on November 16
1¢—$240/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on November 16—1¢
$240/0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on November 16
1¢—$240/0Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on November 16—1¢
$240/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 62¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 62¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
$218
$207
+16 new YES+18 new NO · 4 smart whales
$54 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 10h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $3·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$18(+571.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$43
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-14.4%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 46¢·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $23 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 49¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 86.1%
D
detail666🥉
Entry 37¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 58.6%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 51¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 84.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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