🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
4 days left

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$33.9K
709 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 163 traders · 1 on both sides

Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 MARKETS · $915.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs23 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 14¢
YES 28%NO 72%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 14¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+66 new YES · 5 smart whales+42 new NO · 11 smart whales
$705 bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ16 of 17 on YES
YES 16NO 1one dot = one wallet
16 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 1h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$122 of $4.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $331·NO $4.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$392
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$688(+175.4%)
Whales
9
H
hetaczProven🥇
Entry 10¢·1,800 shares
+$70INV $175 · WR 81.4%
A
AndreaPirlo🥈
Entry 3¢·3,788.7 shares
+$393INV $122 · WR 59.6%
B
Bitgod🥉hedged
Entry 4¢·1,603.6 shares·also $330 on NO
+$157INV $61 · WR 91.4%
O
Ocucumber
Entry 14¢·84.3 shares
$-0INV $12 · WR 81.7%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window
Entry 14¢·72.7 shares
$-0INV $10 · WR 55.3%
1
1111
Entry 2¢·400 shares
+$48INV $7 · WR 77.1%
A
akhk1245
Entry 2¢·170 shares
+$20INV $3 · WR 75.3%
A
Arpayon
Entry 6¢·17.9 shares
+$1INV $1 · WR 62.1%
R
Regal-Gain
Entry 15¢·6.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 70.6%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 43ms